Evidence for
Frontier labs routinely test systems more capable than public releases.
There is no strong public evidence that a generally capable autonomous system meeting a rigorous AGI definition is secretly operating inside a lab.
Frontier labs routinely test systems more capable than public releases.
Extraordinary claims lack independently verifiable evidence.
Current systems still show major reliability and autonomy limitations.
Credible independent documentation.
Reproducible demonstrations of broad autonomous competence.
Added due to repeated online speculation.
No corroborating evidence strong enough to raise confidence.